THIS PAGE IS IN THE FUTURE!

Please come back on Monday, September 30, 2025.

Preferred Futures Framework — modular, adaptive,

and built to keep your business thriving in every possible future.

The Method

Why a New Method Was Needed

Exploration is not enough. Business needs execution

Traditional foresight often produces:

  • Trend decks — long lists of drivers, but no link to action.
  • 2×2 scenario grids — creative worlds, but too abstract for execution.
  • Visionary narratives — inspiring stories, but no governance or metrics.

Useful for broadening perspective, but not enough to run a business on.

What’s missing is a system that turns futures exploration into disciplined decision-making.

Five Moves That Turn Futures Into Action

The Preferred Futures Framework does exactly that. It combines vision, roadmaps, and signals into a working system you can use every week.

North Star Preferred Future
Preferred Future

Define your North Star, trade-offs, and non-negotiables. Freeze the charter for 12 months to cut noise and anchor direction.

Archetype Map

Situate your future inside 16 recurring global patterns, rival worlds that explain how politics, markets, technology, and society could evolve. No blind spots, no chaos.

Roadmap
Backcasting Roadmaps

Plot the path backward from your future to today. Clear gates, dependencies, and stop-rules ensure each move is connected and measurable.



Portfolio of Moves
Portfolio of Moves

Balance certainty with flexibility:

  • No-regrets (safe, must-do actions).
  • Options (low-cost doors to scale later).

Bold bets (transformational plays triggered only when the signals align).

Signals and triggers
Signals & Playbooks

A compact set of indicators with thresholds. When a signal crosses, it triggers a one-page playbook — so decisions are pre-approved, fast, and confident.



Practical advantages for leaders

Why This Works for Business

CLARITY

 a measurable preferred future that aligns leadership

RESILIENCE

a balanced portfolio of moves to thrive across rival futures

EARLY WARNING

signals and triggers show when to pivot before it’s too late

CAPITAL DISCIPLINE

kill criteria and stop-rules prevent wasted spend

BOARD CONFIDENCE

a narrative that is short, rigorous, and evidence-based

SPEED

faster decisions when change hits

Modular & Adaptive

The framework is built to scale:

Scales from product to enterprise


Works for a single product line or a global enterprise.

Applies across domains (AI, supply chains, regulation, etc.)

Can be applied to one domain (e.g., AI, regulation, supply chains) or across the entire business.

Lightweight signals routine keeps it alive

Updates through a lightweight signals routine — self-serve or managed.

Resilient by design, it prepares you for all possible futures, while keeping focus on the one you prefer.

THE EDGE

What makes this framework unique

Structured but flexible

governance without bureaucracy

Signal-driven

decisions tied to data, not guesswork

Preferred-futures centered

scanning and analysis accelerated by tools, but always curated and governed by human judgment

AI-assisted

reduces decision delays, protects capital, and captures opportunities earlier

DON'T WAIT FOR THE FUTURE TO COME

Discover how the framework can be tailored to your strategy